YTD: +19.75 units
Going for a make or break day today. A lot of plays.
Match-Ups
5.00 units Kyle Busch(-115@bodog) over Dale Earnhardt Jr
5.00 units Denny Hamlin(+110@5dimes) over Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Combination of things here, really like Busch and Hamlin today think they are both Top 5. Both have been pretty consistent:
Busch- At California 4 Top 10's last 4 starts(including a win in '05) and has not finished outside the Top 13 in 11 races in '07(7 Top 10's).
Hamlin- At California 3 starts all resulting in Top 12 finishes and has 3 Top 5's the last 4 races in '07.
Jr- Has 3 finishes of worst than 30th in the last 5 at California and only 3 Top 12's in the last seven races this year. Must go for broke tonight to try and make the Chase(which looks very unlikely) just do not think they will get it done. Top 10 at the very best.
5.00 units Clint Bowyer(-120@5dimes) over Ryan Newman
3.00 units Clint Bowyer(+115@thegreek) over Kevin Harvick
My top three for this race is Busch, Hamlin and Clint Bowyer. This is one of Bowyer's best tracks(performance-wise). His three starts resulted in finishes of 6th, 3rd and 14th. Has 5 Top 10's last 10 races and of those 10 only one finish worst than 17th.Think he is a darkhorse to win tonight.
You never know what you have with Newman, he could be Top 10 or Bottom 10. Harvick should race well but taking my shot with Bowyer
3.00 unit Michael Waltrip(+120@5dimes) over Jeremy Mayfield
Maybe I've gone off the deep end but taking a chance here. Waltrip actually has a Top 10 earlier this year at Michigan(california's sister track) while Mayfield has done absolutely nothing.
Props
3.00 units Clint Bowyer(-115@5dimes) to finish better than 12.5
2.00 units Denny Hamlin(-115@5dimes) to finish better than 8.5
2.00 units Clint Bowyer(+325@thegreek) to win group
over Harvick/Biffle/Burton/Newman
1.00 unit Clint Bowyer(9 to 1@sportsbook) to finish Top 3
1.00 unit Kyle Busch(+325@thegreek) to finish Top 3
1.00 unit Denny Hamlin(+385@thegreek) to finish Top 3
Outrights
0.50 unit Kyle Busch(12 to 1@sportsbook) to win
0.50 unit Denny Hamlin(+1450@thegreek) to win
0.50 unit Clint Bowyer(+3050@thegreek) to win
Good Luck and enjoy the race!
Going for a make or break day today. A lot of plays.
Match-Ups
5.00 units Kyle Busch(-115@bodog) over Dale Earnhardt Jr
5.00 units Denny Hamlin(+110@5dimes) over Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Combination of things here, really like Busch and Hamlin today think they are both Top 5. Both have been pretty consistent:
Busch- At California 4 Top 10's last 4 starts(including a win in '05) and has not finished outside the Top 13 in 11 races in '07(7 Top 10's).
Hamlin- At California 3 starts all resulting in Top 12 finishes and has 3 Top 5's the last 4 races in '07.
Jr- Has 3 finishes of worst than 30th in the last 5 at California and only 3 Top 12's in the last seven races this year. Must go for broke tonight to try and make the Chase(which looks very unlikely) just do not think they will get it done. Top 10 at the very best.
5.00 units Clint Bowyer(-120@5dimes) over Ryan Newman
3.00 units Clint Bowyer(+115@thegreek) over Kevin Harvick
My top three for this race is Busch, Hamlin and Clint Bowyer. This is one of Bowyer's best tracks(performance-wise). His three starts resulted in finishes of 6th, 3rd and 14th. Has 5 Top 10's last 10 races and of those 10 only one finish worst than 17th.Think he is a darkhorse to win tonight.
You never know what you have with Newman, he could be Top 10 or Bottom 10. Harvick should race well but taking my shot with Bowyer
3.00 unit Michael Waltrip(+120@5dimes) over Jeremy Mayfield
Maybe I've gone off the deep end but taking a chance here. Waltrip actually has a Top 10 earlier this year at Michigan(california's sister track) while Mayfield has done absolutely nothing.
Props
3.00 units Clint Bowyer(-115@5dimes) to finish better than 12.5
2.00 units Denny Hamlin(-115@5dimes) to finish better than 8.5
2.00 units Clint Bowyer(+325@thegreek) to win group
over Harvick/Biffle/Burton/Newman
1.00 unit Clint Bowyer(9 to 1@sportsbook) to finish Top 3
1.00 unit Kyle Busch(+325@thegreek) to finish Top 3
1.00 unit Denny Hamlin(+385@thegreek) to finish Top 3
Outrights
0.50 unit Kyle Busch(12 to 1@sportsbook) to win
0.50 unit Denny Hamlin(+1450@thegreek) to win
0.50 unit Clint Bowyer(+3050@thegreek) to win
Good Luck and enjoy the race!
